Here's a long piece
detailing how the IT landscape will evolve over the next few years, and Microsoft's position in it. Prediction is always difficult, but he nails Microsofts major challenges: 1) open source software 2) high prices 3) benefit stagnation and 4) customer mistrust. Microsoft is a tough company, and it could overcome all of these, but personally I'm glad I left their platform three years ago.
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